Risk Alert
Risk Alert (Week of 30 March)
Publication description
Dr Cronje also looks beyond the current crisis to assess SA’s economic outlook post-Covid-19. Last week’s Moody’s downgrade will hinder recovery efforts, and will likely result in further ZAR weakening.
Risk Alert (Week of 23 March 2020)
Publication description
Dr Cronje also discusses the volatility in international financial markets, the efficacy of stimulus measures, as well as prospects for the domestic and global economy in 2020.
Risk Alert (Week of 16 March 2020)
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Risk Alert (Week of 9 March 2020)
Publication description
On the domestic front, Dr Cronje assesses the Finance Minister's prospects of reducing the public sector wage bill. Dr Cronje also highlights the risk of prescribed assets and the growing pressure on the SARB to loosen interest rates.
For queries on these or other points, please contact Bheki Mahlobo, who assisted Dr Cronje with the production of this alert.
Risk Alert (Week of 2 March 2020)
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Risk Alert (Week of 24 Feb 2020)
Publication description
International factors include a dramatic slowdown in GDP growth in Japan, and the latest forward guidance by the US Federal Reserve, which indicated that it remains opposed to further rate cuts.
Two international bodies also made pronouncements on SA last week: Moody’s cut SA’s growth outlook from 1.5% to 0.7%; and the IMF, whose chief economist visited the country, dismissed the likelihood of a bailout for SA.
On the domestic political front, Dr Cronje discusses the origins of the Employment Equity Amendment Bill of 2020 and its likely impact.