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[Opinion] ROB ROSE: Smart money braces for stage 8

Since the beginning of 2023, there has been only a single 24-hour period free of rolling blackouts in South Africa,” wrote CRA director Chris Hattingh. “Eskom’s latest energy outlook [up to March 20] suggests this is likely to continue, with the state electricity company being unable to meet the demand for electricity during any week through to at least March 2024.

[Video] SA is playing with fire and putting relations with Western nations at risk – Chris Hattingh of CRA

The Head of Policy Analysis at the Centre for Risk Analysis Chris Hattingh told BizNews that South Africa was playing with fire and says buzzwords like non-alignment and neutrality might not be enough for Western nations to continue giving South Africa access to their markets through agreements like the Africa Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA).

[Letter] LETTER: Time to cut import tariffs

SA could pursue state support for certain industries or goods on a carefully considered and precise basis.

[Opinion] Affirmative action failures: Malaysia’s warning for South Africa

Centre For Risk Analysis analyst, Gerbrandt van Heerden expands on the failures of affirmative action policies in Malaysia, and warns of the possibility of similar consequences in South Africa.

[Letter] Credibility gap

SA’s risk premium has increased exponentially over the last few years. The government’s preference for control was most recently concretised in the signing into law of the Employment Equity Amendment Bill, indicating a preference for even more state power over the economy and society.

[Opinion] Cash fears in energy crisis

His sentiments were echoed by Centre for Risk Analysis policy analyst Chris Hattingh, who said that while a total grid collapse was improbable, it was not impossible. He said the effects of load shedding had already been devastating.

[Opinion] South Africa Faces Social Unrest Risk on Lingering Power Crisis

The state has fumbled South Africa’s crises, Hattingh said, citing its decision to roll back a national state of disaster declared in response to the electricity crisis “with nothing to show for it,” as well as plans to temporarily exempt Eskom from disclosing irregular, fruitless and wasteful expenditure.

[Letter] Moving the goalposts

Eskom and Transnet exemptions have more to do with influence and cadre deployment than solving a crisis.